thanks to NAMFREL for this photo!
this is an exact representation on what is Political Dynasty is all about. thanks for sharing!
there are dynasties that is good for the people and ther are that were not………….. how can we deny the right of a son or daughter of an incumbent?
Who told you that the son or daughter has a right?
uray ania ibagbaga yo, i will never say yes to political dynasty! it is the root of corruption and evil in our country.
Crook begets crooks! A family that are crooks, crooks together!
To the Admin., kindly make a list of political dynasties within Abra’s municipalities; names and years included. Thanks and more power.
Political dynasty in Abra…..from the highest provincial position to barangay captain, these are the appoximate numbers of incumbent/candidates of the following families:
Luna/Seares – 12
Valera/Bernos – 12
Bersamin – 6
Ni “Kit” Bersamina laeng ti awan kabagyan na nga incumbent/candidate!
So lets vote for him kit for governor
There is a clear-path way to stopping political dynasty…don’t put these candidates in our ballots, don’t vote for them but boycott them…political dynasty is anti-democracy, and we have to recognize that when it comes to the ballot, we have d power over them n not d other way around…real change must start now, it’s about damn time!
I’m thinking, just how the Abra votes will go in d May 2013 local elections…
Vote-rich Bangued, with 25,250 votes as of 2010, under d command of Mayor Ryan S. Luna, would surely use all means possible to deliver to d incumbent mayor’s mother, Ex. Cong. Cecy S. Luna (for Governor), and brod, Atty. Hans S. Luna (for Congress) d necessary votes to win their respective bids…and so will be the case of Dolores town (6,968 votes) under Mayor JR Seares, & Lagayan (2,827 votes) of soon-to-be again Mayor Jendricks Luna at the helm…3 towns particularly dominated by d Luna-Seares political clan…
And my favorite candidate for Gov., Mr. Joel “Kit” Bersamina, who is not a member of any political dynasty d last time I checked, would get some votes, too, from d anti-Luna, d anti-Bersamin, & even anti-Valera/Bernos, unless declared as Nuisance candidate before election day…
Incumbent Vice-Gov. Lando Somera, now candidate for Congress, could get solid votes from his hometown of Pilar (5,950 votes) , with some support from fellow Nacionalista-controlled small towns of Langiden (2,322 votes) and Lacub (2,257 votes)…unless his former colleagues (he used to be President of Abra Mayors’ League) would discreetly join forces and throw him their support…who knows?
Otherwise, the votes coming from d remaining Liberal Party-dominated towns, spearheaded by d Valera-Bernos controlled municipalities of La Paz (8,499 votes) under Mayor JB Bernos, Danglas (3,346 votes) with Mayor Esther Bernos at the helm, & Pidigan (6,247 votes) with soon-to-be elected Mayor, Jannsen B. Valera…& d Bersamin bailiwicks of Lagangilang (8,654 votes) under Mayor Dr. Pat Abaya, d town of Penarrubia (4,324 votes) of lady Mayor Geraldine Mamsaang-Balbuena, and Tayum (8,385 votes) under Mayor Placido Eduarte, Jr…would suffice to give Cong. Joy V. Bernos & Gov. Takit Bersamin another 3-year terms of office…
And we should consider voters’ preference, too…in Bucay, consensus No. 2 in voters turn-out after Bangued with 11,647 votes as of 2010, San Juan (7,102 votes), Manabo (6,367 votes), Sallapadan (4,550 votes), etc…all Liberal!
And if my calculations serve me right, taking into account Party Politics & Equity of the Incumbents (with the political machinery & funds at their disposal), we could very well have a repetition of d election results of May 2010…where then Congresswoman-candidate Joy V. Bernos & incumbent Gov. Takit lorded it over Abra Politics!
I’m just saying…
wow nice analysis!
Your analysis defend mostly on command votes. It will be misleading. Remember that all those municipalities you have mention have also their opponents except in lapaz and danglas which is a clear solid win by joy and takit ( kung hindi sya traydorin ng mga bernos) while lagayan and dolores are for the lunas while pilar, visciosa are for somera. Bangued likely for cecy while Pennarubia and tayum for takit. Pidigan, Lagangilang, Bucay and other towns are all tossed up means anybody can win.
This is also my analysis ( on demographic and sectoral groups consideration)
Somera can get farmer’s votes as well as tinguians
Hans can get youth votes and Bangued tricycle drivers and vendors votes (as his brother mayor ryan highly favored)
Joy, I can’t see any sectors that highly favored her becuase she had not made any substantial contributions to any sectors except her infra projects which were tainted with anomalies. However being the incumbent is her advantage
Takit has the advantage of being incumbent. He will get the rural and upland votes.
Cecy will get senior citizen’s and teacher’s votes. She will likely have advantage on bangued vendors and tricycle drivers as well as capitol casual employees ( casual employees will never votes for takit becuase their salaries had been stagnant to 150/day since he took office, and in addition their pay day always delayed). Cecy may also get former provincial hospital patients and religious sectors if she can present better alternative programs, since takit became bad shots to hostpital patients because of worsen conditons of hospital services and the religious sectors dont like him being tadero.
They will both have fair shots on farmers, youth, bussiness sector and other government employees
I prefer your statistic than the other blogger. Somera for congressman,cecy for governor, for mayor given na yan ke ryan. For sure Antalan abra no dagitoy mapagasatan.
I think, if we combine d analysis of United Abra Proponent and Arnelli, we could get a good picture of what to expect as results in the coming polls. While it’s true that command votes favor d incumbents, d votes from other sectors might also play a decisive role in the outcome of the elections. It only means one thing, however, the contests esp. in the position of governor (Takit vs. Cecy) and Congress (Joy vs. Somera vs. Luna) will be one of the closest political battles, dirtiest and most expensive in d annals of Abra politics…
As a betting man…
I only have 3 candidates in mind certain to be elected as Senators in d May 2013 elections: Sen. Loren Legarda, Sen. Chiz Escudero, & MTRCB Chairperson Grace Poe (never mind the Llamanzares)…all because they are common candidates of the Administration (Liberal Party) and d Opposition (UNA). If you are endorsed by the Left & d Right, there is really no reason to lose my friend.
Expect also d 4-JUANS to make it to d Magic 12…Juan Ponce “Jack” Enrile, Juan Edgardo “Sonny” Angara, Juan Victor “JV” Ejercito, & Juan Miguel “Migs” Zubiri…never mind d other one (Juan), John Carlos “JC” Delos Reyes, Ex. Presidential candidate in 2010.
Completing d other 5 slots could very well be…Sen. Allan Peter Cayetano, Former Sen. Richard “Dick” Gordon, Rep. Cynthia Villar (wife of Sen. Manny Villar), Presidential 1st Cousin Bam Aquino, & Vice-Presidential Daughter Nancy Binay…based on name-recall & popularity votes, wanna bet?
In Congress, as candidates we have…
The incumbent, Cong. Joy Valera-Bernos, a widowed mother whose 1st tenure as Abra Rep. was marred with reports of unexcused absenteeism, but extremely popular (or unpopular) among folks because of her many road projects (just see for yourself those bearing her pictures)…
The incumbent Vice-Gov. Rolando Somera, then 3-term mayor of Pilar and consistent president of the Abra mamayores…and
A promising young lawyer, Atty. Hans Roger Luna, son of d Ex. Congresswoman, who’s practically learning the ropes as the newest face/politician of the Luna clan (after siblings Mayor Ryan of Bangued, Ex. Mayor Jendricks & Vice-Mayor Haya of Lagayan)…
Who’s gonna win, that’s too tough to call…it’s still too early to tell!
For Governor, it’s Gov. Takit vs. Ex. Cong. Cecy…and this could be d toughest battle for the incumbent Gov. in his political career…a Takit win will maintain d status quo, but what if Luna wins…that could have a rippling effect in 2016 as d changing of the guards…
For Vice-Governor, it could be Bokala Chari Bersamin in a comfortable win…unless VG-candidate Mailed Molina will prove me wrong!
If I were to vote in d 2nd District, my list could read…Atty. Byrone Alzate as Bokal, who else…he deserves to be elected, after being “cheated” as SB of Bangued in 2007 and losing as Vice-Mayor of Bangued in 2010…and I believe he could make a real change…
Our Abra politics just turned out so exciting…if only I could move days to d start of the campaign!
Atty byrone alzate??!!!???!!! Are you kidding me! Purjos santisima trinidad manggagancho dta nga tao..wanted for estafa in cagayan and in isabela,kababain ka latta nga alzate. Kahihiyan ka sa pamilya at sa abra incase u get elected
I’m for kit bersamina period
Awan latta manen, maysa ka met nga nu asino sikat ti media ket isu ibotos mo. Ni JC delos Reyes nga kakaisuna nga matino nga kandidato di mo pay ibotos. Nalipata mon aya dagita basol da enrile, estrada, zubiri, nga pareho a nagtuturay dadakkel da ket puro self interest met lang ti inubra da. Dayta nga Angara binagbagi da ti Aurora maysa a karigatan nga probinsya, puted-puted ti kalsada ta kinurakot da. Dagita loren, escudero, grace, haan nasayaat pamilya da, nagsisina da nga agga-asawa. Kasta met binay, bagi da makati, nakabakbaknang nga siyudad, adda pay la marigrigat nia metten kapoy nga mayor nu siak awan ah ti marigaten ta bassit ti tulungak nga marigrigat ket dakkel met ti kuarta ti siudad. Cayetano, awan utang imbag ah nakem, idi bumangsit ni glorian indanes nan pinayatan nan ta isu pay nagtakderan nan tapno makasenador gasyan pay naabak ta bassit jay nagbatayan na di coma ni first genteleman dakdakkel.
Awan sa met ngamin ti nasayaat nga mabutusan kadagiti nagi-file ti kandidatura na. Awan ah latta, madi maka-bangon ti Baro Nga Abra…Unless, a few good candidate or candidates will be able to substitute some crooked ones before d deadline for substitution on Dec. 21…Ti saludsod, adda da pay ngata?
daytoy ti prediction ko nga mangabak, Congressman Hans Luna, Governor Cesy Luna, Vice Governor Mailed Molina, Bangued Mayor Ryan Luna, Lagayan Mayor Jendricks Luna, Tineg Mayor Cromwell Luna, Dolores Mayor JR Seares.
ket sukatan tay ngarud ti nagan to Abran no mangabak amin nga Luna. agbalin nga LUNABRA!
Mayor Placido Eduarte Jr mistress is a young, half of his age from Poblacion tayum named Resty Millare tauro….
Mahiya naman ikaw mayor…….Chiz escudero and Heart Evangelista of Abra ang tema nyo ah!!!!
as far as I know mayor glen is been separated for more than a decade…whoever he want to be with is his right!
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